OUTLETS: Output-Length Prediction from Speculative Decoding Backbones
Updated 5 h ago · first seen 11 Sept 2026
paper_01M294G692G89RFKSNSHH9CE2W
- Published
- 11 Sept 2026
- T1 · 5 h ago
- arXiv
- 2609.01068
- T1 · 5 h ago
- Category
- cs.CL
- T1 · 5 h ago
Abstract
The heavy-tailed distribution of output lengths in Large Language Model (LLM) serving poses major challenges for resource provisioning and cluster scheduling. Although output-length prediction can mitigate these issues, existing approaches have key drawbacks: external proxy models add substantial latency and often have limited fidelity, whereas internal state-based methods are efficient but rely on shallow probes of current model states. We identify a structural connection between speculative decoding (SD) and length prediction: latent representations produced by the draft decoder in advanced frameworks (e.g., EAGLE-3) encode signals that are predictive of generation length. Building on this insight, we introduce OUTLETS (Output-Length Prediction from Speculative Decoding Backbones), which repurposes the speculative backbone as a trajectory-aware length predictor. When its draft representations are already computed for speculative decoding, OUTLETS adds only a lightweight regression head and achieves lower MAE than the evaluated methods. Under saturated disaggregated serving, OUTLETS predictions enable standard scheduling policies to prioritize shorter requests and distribute requests more evenly across decoding instances, reducing short-request P99 latency by 34.8%.
Authors 8
Weihuang Wen, Yingying Liu, Yichuan Liu, Wenqi Zeng, Li Zhou, Chumin Sun, Jie Sun, Tianshu Yu
Specification
- Official page
Source:arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1observed 5 h agohigh
- Arxiv announce type
- replace
Source:arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1observed 5 h agohigh
- arXiv id
- 2609.01068
Source:arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1observed 5 h agohigh
- Categories
- cs.CL
Source:arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1observed 5 h agohigh
Source:arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1observed 5 h agohigh
- Primary category
- cs.CL
Source:arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1observed 5 h agohigh
- Published
- 11 Sept 2026
Source:arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1observed 5 h agohigh
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Provenance
Attributed facts
9
Source tiers
T19
Freshest observation
5 h ago
Conflicts
None
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- Authors
- Weihuang Wen, Yingying Liu, Yichuan Liu
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Claim history
Official pageofficial_url1
| Value | Valid from → to | Status | Source | Confidence | Extractor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.01068 | → current | current | arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1 | high | deterministic |
Abstractabstract1
| Value | Valid from → to | Status | Source | Confidence | Extractor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The heavy-tailed distribution of output lengths in Large Language Model (LLM) serving poses major challenges for resource provisioning and cluster scheduling. Although output-length prediction can mitigate these issues, existing approaches have key drawbacks: external proxy models add substantial latency and often have limited fidelity, whereas internal state-based methods are efficient but rely on shallow probes of current model states. We identify a structural connection between speculative decoding (SD) and length prediction: latent representations produced by the draft decoder in advanced frameworks (e.g., EAGLE-3) encode signals that are predictive of generation length. Building on this insight, we introduce OUTLETS (Output-Length Prediction from Speculative Decoding Backbones), which repurposes the speculative backbone as a trajectory-aware length predictor. When its draft representations are already computed for speculative decoding, OUTLETS adds only a lightweight regression head and achieves lower MAE than the evaluated methods. Under saturated disaggregated serving, OUTLETS predictions enable standard scheduling policies to prioritize shorter requests and distribute requests more evenly across decoding instances, reducing short-request P99 latency by 34.8%. | → current | current | arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1 | high | deterministic |
Arxiv announce typearxiv_announce_type1
| Value | Valid from → to | Status | Source | Confidence | Extractor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| replace | → current | current | arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1 | high | deterministic |
arXiv idarxiv_id1
| Value | Valid from → to | Status | Source | Confidence | Extractor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2609.01068 | → current | current | arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1 | high | deterministic |
Categoriescategories1
| Value | Valid from → to | Status | Source | Confidence | Extractor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cs.CL | → current | current | arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1 | high | deterministic |
PDFpdf_url1
| Value | Valid from → to | Status | Source | Confidence | Extractor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.01068 | → current | current | arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1 | high | deterministic |
Primary categoryprimary_category1
| Value | Valid from → to | Status | Source | Confidence | Extractor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cs.CL | → current | current | arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1 | high | deterministic |
Publishedpublished_at1
| Value | Valid from → to | Status | Source | Confidence | Extractor |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sept 2026 | → current | current | arXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1 | high | deterministic |
Claims are temporal and append-only: a new observation closes the previous claim (valid_to) instead of overwriting it. Conflicting claims from different sources are kept side by side and flagged — never averaged. Methodology →
New paper: OUTLETS: Output-Length Prediction from Speculative Decoding Backbones
arxiv
| Source | Document | Type | Tier | Last observed | Snapshots |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| arXiv (Atom API + RSS) | rss.arxiv.org/rss/cs.CL | feed | T1· Official | 5 h ago | 1 |
Tier 1 = official/primary, 2 = quality secondary, 3 = community, 4 = unverified. Every snapshot is archived; see all sources and the methodology.