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The Zero Pattern of a Design Matrix Drives Multiple Descent in Over-parameterized Regression

arxiv.org/abs/2607.24041

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Updated 6 h ago · first seen 11 Sept 2026

paper_01M294FTBVHMYR127E1X1F8N4H

Published
11 Sept 2026
T1 · 6 h ago
arXiv
2607.24041
T1 · 6 h ago
Category
math.ST
T1 · 6 h ago

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-cross Abstract: Over-parameterized linear regression has been widely studied over the last decade. However, most existing works assume that the covariates are independent and that their covariance matrices are non-degenerate. In this paper, we relax both assumptions and derive deterministic equivalents for the prediction risk in a vanishing-ridge regime. We show that degeneracy of the covariance matrices and dependence can lead to multiple descent, and characterize where the corresponding peaks can occur. Our proofs use a novel graph representation of the variance profile. We show that maximum matchings and the Dulmage--Mendelsohn decomposition of the associated bipartite graph identify the configurations at which the variance becomes singular.currentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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