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LiFTER: A Grounded Neuro-Symbolic Microscope for Continuous-Time Dynamic Graph Forecasting

arxiv.org/abs/2608.06765

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Updated 2 h ago · first seen 11 Sept 2026

paper_01M294GP3PMNBY603H0E7AG9AZ

Published
11 Sept 2026
T1 · 2 h ago
arXiv
2608.06765
T1 · 2 h ago
Category
cs.AI
T1 · 2 h ago

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Claim history for Abstract
ValueValid from → toStatusSourceConfidenceExtractor
Continuous-time dynamic graph models predict future links by compressing past interactions into neural states. Although effective for forecasting, this computation obscures which entities are shared across events and how temporal patterns contribute to a prediction. We treat this gap as a property of the predictive architecture rather than a problem to be addressed after prediction. Link-Fact Temporal Rule Inducer (LiFTER) is a neuro-symbolic predictor that preserves observed interactions as grounded temporal facts and applies executable tempo- ral rules to pre-query facts. Each score is a signed sum of rule exe- cutions whose historical facts, entity bindings, and temporal order are explicitly satisfied. The evidence and rules responsible for a prediction can therefore be inspected, independently recomputed, and intervened upon. Across four CTDG benchmarks, LiFTER achieves competitive historical-negative forecasting and the highest macro explanation ac- curacy and deletion fidelity. The same architecture also serves as a microscope that separates the contributions of recurrence, history po- sition, and transition across datasets and traces them to individual facts. Independent execution reconstructs all logits for 19,664 test predictions with a maximum error of 0.0000131. LiFTER turns future-link forecasting into a verifiable grounded computation.currentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

Claims are temporal and append-only: a new observation closes the previous claim (valid_to) instead of overwriting it. Conflicting claims from different sources are kept side by side and flagged — never averaged. Methodology →