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Learning Intrinsic Water-Quality Dynamics with Rainfall for Data-Driven Forecasting

arxiv.org/abs/2508.08279

quality89

Updated 5 h ago · first seen 11 Sept 2026

paper_01M294FRT9CDJ7XN14750SD1ST

Published
11 Sept 2026
T1 · 5 h ago
arXiv
2508.08279
T1 · 5 h ago
Category
cs.LG
T1 · 5 h ago

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Rainfall is an important environmental driver of water-quality variations through processes such as runoff, pollutant transport, dilution, and resuspension. Traditional mechanistic models can explicitly describe these processes but often require substantial process specification and site-specific calibration, limiting their flexibility under changing hydrological conditions. In this work, we explore a data-driven alternative by proposing RaiNet to jointly model multiscale water-quality dynamics and station-specific rainfall effects across relative lags and temporal scales. RaiNet employs LocTrend to capture irregular water-quality dynamics, constructs station-oriented rainfall events from gridded precipitation, and introduces XGateFusion for conditional lag-aware fusion across scales. We further release three real-world multimodal datasets comprising over 150,000 temporally aligned water quality observations and gridded precipitation raster images. Experiments show that RaiNet outperforms general time-series, water quality, diffusion-based, and spatiotemporal models by over 20%, while component-wise analyses confirm the distinct contribution of each module.currentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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