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Geospatial Foundation Models Capture Health-Relevant Dimensions of Place Beyond Conventional Social Risk Indices

arxiv.org/abs/2609.11689

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Updated 5 h ago · first seen 11 Sept 2026

paper_01M294FR7Y07RC2MDKYB6F6WVE

Published
11 Sept 2026
T1 · 5 h ago
arXiv
2609.11689
T1 · 5 h ago
Category
stat.AP
T1 · 5 h ago

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https://arxiv.org/abs/2609.11689currentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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Area-based social risk indices summarize residents' socioeconomic conditions but incompletely capture physical features of place that may affect health. We evaluated whether numerical representations of physical place produced by four geospatial foundation model families from 2022 satellite data explained residual variance in tract-level associations between the Area Deprivation Index, Social Deprivation Index, and Social Vulnerability Index with health outcomes. We used LightGBM to predict variables from the American Community Survey and 40 chronic disease and health-behavior outcomes from CDC PLACES across 82,646 census tracts in the contiguous United States, evaluating performance across 10 held-out states. Among survey variables, models were moderately predictive of some variables including housing type (R-squared up to 0.54) but weak for disability, unemployment, and income disparity. For health outcomes, models explained up to 54% of variance left unexplained by social risk indices, with the largest gains for annual checkups, arthritis, and high blood pressure. Mean total variance explained by geospatial foundation models across the 40 health-related outcomes increased from 0.31 in the smallest tract-size decile to 0.39 in the largest. Geospatial foundation models capture health-relevant features of place not represented by conventional social risk indices and may usefully augment them in epidemiological analyses.currentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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crosscurrentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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2609.11689currentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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Nathaniel Hendrix, Carl Y. Zhang, Chris Heitzig, Andrew Bazemore, David H. RehkopfcurrentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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stat.AP, cs.LGcurrentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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https://arxiv.org/pdf/2609.11689currentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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stat.APcurrentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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11 Sept 2026currentcurrentarXiv (Atom API + RSS)T1highdeterministic

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